Алгоритмы прогноза и поддержки принятия управленческих решений при организации функционирования лечебных учреждений

Аннотация

Object of the research: object of research arc the computer systems of support of acceptance of the administrative decisions for medical - preventive establishments. The purpose of work: development of algorithms of the forecast and computer system of support of acceptance of the administrative decisions for organization of functioning of medical establishments allowing to raise efficiency of the forecast of quality of day on card - vascular to diseases. Methods of the research. During process of the execution work were used the methods of mathematical modeling, statistics and computing experiment, theories of recognition of images, device of the fuzzy logic. The received results and their novelty: arc received robust of models of the forecast for an estimation arrival patients with card - vascular by diseases; arc developed methodology of construction and algorithm of functioning of system of collective acceptance of the decision according to quality of day, and also program complex of support of acceptance of the administrative decisions for medical -preventive establishments. The practical importance: the complex of algorithms and software for the decision of a wide spectrum of tasks of statistical processing of the information, forecasting and acceptance of the decisions is developed according to quality of day for card - vascular to diseases. The results of development have wide access for the users of the world net INTERNET. Degree of introduction and economic efficiency: the developed algorithms and the software have found practical application at the Republican specialized scientific practical medical centre of therapy and medical rehabilitation; at the Republican Centre of Emergency Medical aid. The economic benefit on the first object of introduction for 2011 has made 6142540 sum. Area of application: the developed algorithms and system of collective acceptance of the decision, and also the software according to quality of day for card - vascular can find wide application in medical - preventive establishments, service of rendering of emergency medical aid.