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Аннотация

The statistical analysis of the processes taking place in agrotourism in the modern tourism industry is aimed at the development of economic forecasts for the assessment of the development trends of agrotourism for the near future. Keywords: Agrotourism, Modern tourism, statistics, agrotourism services, agrotourism products, agrotourism trends. ОЦЕНКА ТЕНДЕНЦИЙ РАЗВИТИЯ АГРОТУРИЗМА «РЕГИОНОВ НАМАНГАНСКОЙ ОБЛАСТИ» Аннотация. Статистический анализ процессов, происходящих в агротуризме в современной туристической отрасли, направлен на разработку экономических прогнозов для оценки тенденций развития агротуризма на ближайшую перспективу. Ключевые слова: Агротуризм, Современный туризм, статистика, агротуристические услуги, агротуристические продукты, тенденции агротуризма. In the conditions of constant changes in the modern world, statistical analysis of the studied events and processes taking place in agrotourism is of particular importance. The development of economic forecasts for the development of agritourism for the near future has become especially difficult in the conditions of constant uncertainty and known inaccuracy of statistical data. In this regard, the information collected by the cell is very important. Modern tourism industry is one of the largest, most profitable and dynamic industries in the world. Tourism accounts for about 10% of world GDP, world investment, all jobs and world consumption. According to the World Tourism Organization, in the last ten years, the number of tourists from tourism has increased by 7.9 percent per year, and the number of incoming tourists by 4.5 percent per year. European tourism appeared in the early 70s of the last century. At that time, many large cities have ecological issues, and people need to have healthy food, healthy food, and healthy food. Today, tourism is developing rapidly, and in some countries, the flow of foreign tourists is drawing a part of it. Countries such as Italy, France, and Ireland can be cited as examples. The term "agritourism" is self-inflicted. It was the täää täää of the traditional tättä household. Agrarian tourism is determined by modern associations for its development. Thus, the International Economic Development Association (IED) gives the following interpretation. Agrotourism is a complex tourist product of the tourism industry directed to the creation of the village's natural, cultural, historical and other resources to use and its unique characteristics. Agrotourism association is defined as: agrotourism - agrotourism is an organization of activities in which accommodation, accommodation, food, excursion services, all-time organization and dispute resolution, complex services are formed and visitors are invited to visit. korzadastogan svetsya, 3 73 International scientific journal ISSN: 2181-3906 «MODERN SCIENCE АND RESEARCH» 2024 VOLUME 3 / ISSUE 4 / UIF:8.2 / MODERNSCIENCE.UZ active seat of tourism tourism, fishing, hunting, acquisition of knowledge and skills. According to the association, agrotourism is aimed at creating a complex tourist product from the agricultural, natural, cultural-historical and other resources of the rural area and its specific features. The development of economic forecasts for the development of agrotourism in the regions of Namangan region has become especially relevant in the conditions of constant uncertainty and a certain lack of statistical data. In this regard, forward-looking information is very important. Forecasting is the modeling of the real situation, its implementation in the abstract field with the verification of the final results and the analysis of the progress of a certain forecasted situation, and forecasting is an integral part of the management process. This is especially true in the field of economic events, where the outcome of today's decisions largely depends on what will happen tomorrow. Forecasting reduces uncertainty and helps to increase the accuracy of the decision, thereby eliminating the losses of economic entities. Therefore, one of the tasks of the research is to forecast the development trends of agrotourism in the "Territory of Namangan Region". In order to forecast the indicators of the development of agrotourism activity, a trend analysis based on the calculation of the relative deviations of the indicated indicators from the level of the base period was conducted in the period of 2010-2022. In this trend analysis, general statistical data of 2010-2022 of all family business enterprises operating in the field of agrotourism in the regions of Namangan region were selected. The proposed “main statistical indicators Indicators Change in 2022 2010 2015 2020 2021 2022 compared to 2010 (+, -) Number of visitors, 3682 4170 4385 4379 4418 736 people Average real income per capita, 1,5 3,9 8,3 10,3 12,5 11 thousand soums Type of services provided, in unit 9 11 17 18 20 11 Population of the city, thousand 1529,7 1641,9 1857,5 1899,471 1943,9 414 people If we pay attention