Intraseasonal versus Interannual Measures of Land–Atmosphere Coupling Strength in a Global Climate Model: GLACE-1 versus GLACE-CMIP5 Experiments in ACCESS1.3b

Аннотация

Land–atmosphere coupling can strongly affect climate and climate extremes. Estimates of land–atmosphere coupling vary considerably between climate models, between different measures used to define coupling, and between the present and the future. The Australian Community Climate and EarthSystem Simulator, version 1.3b (ACCESS1.3b), is used to derive and examine previously used measures of coupling strength. These include the GLACE-1 coupling measure derived on seasonal time scales;a similar measure defined using multiyear simulations; and four other measures of different complexity and data requirements, including measures that can be derived from standard model runs and observations. The ACCESS1.3b land–atmosphere coupling strength is comparable to other climate models. The coupling strength in the Southern Hemisphere summer is larger compared to the Northern Hemisphere summer and is dominated by a strong signal in the tropics and subtropics. The land–atmosphere coupling measures agree on the location of very strong land–atmosphere coupling but show differences in the spatial extent of these regions. However, the investigated measures show disagreement in weaker coupled regions, and some regions are only identified by a single measure as strongly coupled. In future projections the soil moisture trend is crucial in generating regions of strong land–atmosphere coupling, and the results suggest an expansion of coupling ‘‘hot spots.’’ It is concluded that great care needs to be taken in using different measures of coupling strength and shown that several measures that can be easily derived lead to inconsistent conclusions with more computationally expensive measures designed to measure coupling strength.